Anticipated scope and scale
Attacks by armed groups, particularly the Allied Democratic Forces (ADF), have increased in frequency in recent months and are likely to trigger more displacement and drive humanitarian needs in Nord Kivu and Ituri province. The lack of humanitarian assistance is likely to push displaced communities to prematurely return to areas of origin, despite persistent protection concerns.
Displacement in Ebola-affected territories could facilitate spreading of the disease. IDPs resorting to informal crossings to Uganda, without screening, increase the risk of Ebola spreading to neighbouring countries.